This race is a tossup.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is the D inc and it's a blue wall it's a 270 to 319 map FL and TX are Safe R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a toss-up, but lean Trump if I had to pick one.

No, it's Lean Biden lol stop being a Doomer

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No it's not it's Lean D since SOTU

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No it's not look at MD S and WI and AZ and it will come down to MT S for the majority control  and NEB

Where is that Trump Toupee he is no where l

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Biden is around a 60-40 favorite

…

Not with a job-approval rating which consistently struggles for 40 percent.

April 26, 2024—Gallup reports 38.7 percent.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/644252/biden-13th-quarter-approval-average-lowest-historically.aspx

Gallup had it 38%, in 22 and we won blue states other polls have had it at 45(51, Marist and PPP, besides it's votes not polls that count we haven't voted yet

Look at Gallup in Nov 22 it never been at 50% since 21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Biden is around a 60-40 favorite

…

Not with a job-approval rating which consistently struggles for 40 percent.

April 26, 2024—Gallup reports 38.7 percent.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/644252/biden-13th-quarter-approval-average-lowest-historically.aspx

I think the only direction both candidates are going is down. Both are old, deteriorating noticeably, and Trump has benefited that whereas he is deteriorating in an air conditioned court from which cameras have been banned, Biden is falling apart amidst violence on the streets and chaos abroad.

I honestly think the talk of probabilities is off because this election, like 1980 has the potential to break wide open. Biden is unpopular enough and things are going badly enough it is possible thr voters who believe things cannot go on like this turn out en masses and worry about the consequences later.

So my 60-40 odds include a 25% chance of a Biden landslide and a 20% chance of a Trump one.

It won't be a landslide, it's a 319 map AZ, GA, NC, VA, WI, PA and MI and NV for a 218/217 DH 51/49 Sen net NE lose WV and win NH, WA and NC G for 26R/24 DG

That is a 45/51% Approval the same as we did in 22 when Biden was at 45% the MSNBC and Steve KONAKI ALREADY said Biden isn't at 38% Gallup he was at 45/51.

There is a slight chance we win TX but ALLRED and Powell are gonna do exactly like Hegar -9%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I voted false, Trump will win.

Trump won in 2016 and almost did in 2020.

He was expected to lose both times, according to the polls.

Lol Trump is an insurrection voters are gonna take that to the polls when we vote that the polls aren't showing and Marist and PPP as always shows Ds gaining not losing


You are the only D that believes Trump will win, that's odd

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users are so worried about polls they forget you have to trust the voters to do the right thing and vote out J6 Trump again

Most of us Ds live in Safe blue states anyways , or Safe D Districts like I am moving to Dallas