Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory. (user search)
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  Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Well?
#1
6+ points
 
#2
4-6 points
 
#3
2-4 points
 
#4
Less than 2 points
 
#5
She loses
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory.  (Read 1197 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,994
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 06, 2024, 11:39:38 PM »

I think she could actually go down this year. If Trump wins Wisconsin even narrowly, Baldwin has close to zero crossover appeal the same way Brown or Casey do. Its possible Hovde even outruns Baldwin. He will probably do better in places like WOW than her.

She won 2012/18 and Trump isn't winning WI
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,994
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2024, 01:36:35 PM »

4)6 pts it's exaggerated even the😂 Trump numbers
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,994
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2024, 09:24:59 AM »

If Biden wins WI by roughly 1 point, Baldwin’s margin of victory is likely within the 2-4 range.

Biden isn't winning WI by 1 pt
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