ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1001834605249523712

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It should be clear by this point to all: Heidi will do what she needs to do to get re-elected.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I've been pronouncing it as you say it should be.

Yeah, don't lump us richtiger Amerikaner mit guter Ausprache in with the unwashed non-pronouncing masses.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

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Stick a fork in her... as I've been saying for a while this one needs to be triaged.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/surprisingly-senate-now-play

Even if Heitkamp were clearly down, which she is not, it would not make sense to triage her because it is dirt cheap to campaign in North Dakota.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Kind of off topic, but I had a dream last night that a poll was released that had Heitkamp leading 24-14 with 62% undecided, and everyone on Atlas took it seriously and acted like she was heavily favored because she now had a double digit lead.

Weird, I had that same dream, except it was a Beto lead.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Surprise surprise, partisan SCOTUS gonna partisan.

https://twitter.com/AriBerman/status/1049821777650769920

https://twitter.com/chrisgeidner/status/1049754018032041986

Pack the court, create new states. Perhaps in North Dakota, each Reservation can secede and form its own state in a few years, and then Heitkamp can carpetbag there to get elected.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Well, at least this particular SC decision didn't involve the new justice, and wasn't entirely split on partisan lines...

Oh yeah.. that partisan 6-2 (out of SCOTUS vote. lol

It is pretty unusual to have any written opinions for a stay application/injunction, much less one joined by more than 1 Justice. The fact that there were 2 indicates that this was pretty unusual, and a departure from the norm.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

What I'm confused about is why the Purcell principle did not apply here?

Because the Republican Party wants to pick up ND-SEN.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1053272190060294145

Cook Senate ratings behind the curve yet again. What is the point of having "expert" Senate ratings if they don't update until it is clear to everyone else what is happening?

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

They are usually very careful with their rating changes. If they behaved like Atlas, we would have rating changes every week.

But compare to the Cook House ratings.

With the Cook House ratings, they move races and then later people say, "oh, at the time they moved it I wasn't sure why the moved it, but it turns out they were right to move it."

When has that happened with the Senate ratings?

The issue is that whereas the House ratings do provide some added value and are often a leading indicator, the Senate ratings do not (and always seem to be a lagging indicator).

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I honestly don't think Heitkamp is as cooked as people think.

Dems dont seem to think so. I mean, they sent Joe Biden to campaign for her in the final days.

He made one stop at a bus tour kickoff which could very well be him repaying a favor for a vote or him securing endorsements (Clinton also campaigned for several doomed democrats for the same reason). What is noticeable is that neither Trump or Pence are planning to make any stops in the state despite being extremely popular there.

He is making 20 stops in ND for a tour with Heidi, I already clarified this. And I have a suspicion that when you say "Doomed Democrats" you refer to the senate races of WI, PA, MO, NC, among others.

Anyway, the fact that a prized Democrat who has high approvals and has helped pull out races for other candidates is going to ND, and not to AZ, NV, IN, or MO should be a sign, especially considering, if he is doing this for endorsement votes, the other states will actually have the possibility of having D senators, much more useful than a senator who lost in ND.

Heitkampmentum is



She is going to get on that old bus, stop and talk to the farmer guy who is selling apples by the side of the road, and then the farmer guy is going to vote for her so that she will win. Classic retail politics, she can still win because she is an incumbent in a small state where the people know her.