Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
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E: -2.71, S: -5.22
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« on: January 10, 2013, 06:37:06 PM » |
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As I mentioned during the election, one reason why I was increasingly confident Obama would be re-elected is a pretty simple fact, when G W Bush lost in 1992, he lost by 5% and 202 EVs... and it was the smallest margin for an incumbent president to be defeated... btw, I don't count Ford as it was his first election.
So my point is, incumbency is the most powerful re-election tool a president has. People are inherently conservative when it comes to voting someone out. It generally takes a personal failing which impacts on the country - and that leads to incumbents being thrown out, rather than voted out.
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