ARG: Sununu one of the most vul senators down 10 pts

[Verily]

I suspected Sununu was in worse trouble than many predicted, but not this bad. That's worse trouble than Allard would be in if he were running for reelection. At this point, the election will be decided by the Democratic primary unless something radical happens.

That breakdown makes it look like the moderate-to-liberal branch of the New Hampshire Republicans that kept the party in power for so long is getting ready to finally defect en masse to the Democrats. A combination of Lynch and Bush, I'm sure.

[Verily]

Bushs 17% approval rating is just LOL, even for NH !

I doubt it is that low for Bush there....makes me thing this poll might be a tad skewed.  I dont doubt Sununu is vulnerable, but I'm not quite sure I buy this.

That´s actually what I meant. I don´t think the 17% are true. It must be some kind of outlier. Look at the recent NH Bush Job Approval numbers by ARG:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/nhp04.html

He never went below 30% - and now 17%, that´s hard to believe. Rhode Island, yes, but NH no.

All that changed were Undecideds; maybe ARG stopped pressing respondents as hard.