official SC Democratic results thread (user search)
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Author Topic: official SC Democratic results thread  (Read 22380 times)
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: January 26, 2008, 05:06:34 PM »

What is to prevent voters who voted last week in SC in the GOP primary in SC, to vote today in the Dem SC primary? 

State law.

No. There is nothing preventing independents from voting in both primaries.
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2008, 07:07:06 PM »

White men Edwards 44, Clinton 28%, Obama 27%

White women Clinton 42%, Edwards 35%, Obama 22%

Clinton gets second. Edwards has no black support.
Exit polls aren't always totally right.

Still, there's no way Edwards gets second place with numbers like that. He would have needed to have won whites by about 10%, including a narrow victory among white women, to come in second.
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2008, 07:09:55 PM »

Is CNN's exit poll just not up yet online, or merely not working for me?
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2008, 07:15:14 PM »

A handful of votes are in from Saluda County. Obama leads 49-37-14.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2008, 07:17:25 PM »

CNN, why is your exit poll not up yet? You had it up at close of polls for the GOP race in SC.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: January 26, 2008, 07:20:58 PM »

A handful of votes are in from Saluda County. Obama leads 49-37-14.

If that holds, he's even going into Super Supreme Maximum Tuesday dead even.

Saluda County is supposed to be relatively good Clinton territory, being pretty strongly majority white, but these may have been precincts with more blacks than the county average.

Right now Obama leads 70-18-12, but most of the votes are from Obama stronghold Dillon County.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #6 on: January 26, 2008, 07:22:47 PM »

Acording to the exit polls, Obama is going past 50%.

I think I was the only one to predict Obama above 50% in the predictions thread. Too early to claim my prize, but there you have it. (I also called for Edwards in second, so that part, at least, is blown.)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #7 on: January 26, 2008, 07:23:33 PM »

A handful of votes are in from Saluda County. Obama leads 49-37-14.

If that holds, he's even going into Super Supreme Maximum Tuesday dead even.

Saluda County is supposed to be relatively good Clinton territory, being pretty strongly majority white, but these may have been precincts with more blacks than the county average.

Right now Obama leads 70-18-12, but most of the votes are from Obama stronghold Dillon County.

Its up 71% to 20% Tongue

Some of Bamberg County, another heavily black county.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #8 on: January 26, 2008, 07:25:38 PM »

Actually Obama will be in the mid 50s....that'll be enough to make him the new frontrunner.

I doubt that. Nothing tonight could make him the frontrunner short of beating Clinton among whites. A victory like that would at least give him something of a fighting chance, however.
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #9 on: January 26, 2008, 07:27:07 PM »

Obama leads in Pickens County, which was Bush's strongest county in 2004 and overwhelmingly white.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #10 on: January 26, 2008, 07:30:43 PM »

What is going on with the lack of complete exit poll releases? It's irritating me.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #11 on: January 26, 2008, 07:33:55 PM »

Clinton's leading in Lexington County, another overwhelmingly white county (Bush's second-strongest in 2004).
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #12 on: January 26, 2008, 07:34:28 PM »

Not SC Dem related, but CNN just announced that Crist is going to endorse McCain.

Presumably had been waiting to possibly endorse Giuliani.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #13 on: January 26, 2008, 07:38:49 PM »

So did Edwards or Clinton win the white vote?

Edwards, according to all of the exit polls.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2008, 08:01:45 PM »


Which is where he leads. Oconee County, anyway, and with 74% in. (45E-30C-25O)
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2008, 08:05:38 PM »


Still fewer than Kucinich, who has dropped out.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2008, 08:22:35 PM »


Wow, you're right. Obama has moved into the lead even in Lexington County while Edwards has edged Clinton into third in Pickens County (which he may win over Obama; it's very tight with 80% reporting).
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2008, 08:26:39 PM »

Things seem to have stabilized at 54-27-19, now with 49% reporting. Obama is just shy of double Clinton's vote total.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #18 on: January 26, 2008, 08:30:28 PM »

Nooo!!!!! Horry County betrayed God, and will be smited tommorow!!!!

It's only half in, though admittedly a 10-point margin is unlikely to change. Still, Myrtle Beach = Clinton country.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #19 on: January 26, 2008, 08:39:37 PM »

Big jump in reporting; 68% in and Obama still leads 54-27-19 with just over double Clinton's numbers. Obama has also officially won more votes than McCain did in the GOP primary.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2008, 08:50:17 PM »

81% in, still 54-27-19. Obama's just below double Clinton right now.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2008, 08:54:01 PM »

Edwards won Oconee County (his home county), so Obama gets the other 44 counties unless something changes radically somewhere.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2008, 09:06:32 PM »

Edwards won Oconee County (his home county), so Obama gets the other 44 counties unless something changes radically somewhere.

I thought Hillary got the Myrtle Beach county?

That was what I meant; I was responding to Alcon, who said Clinton won 1/46. South Carolina has 46 counties.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2008, 09:09:12 PM »

Edwards won Oconee County (his home county), so Obama gets the other 44 counties unless something changes radically somewhere.

I thought Hillary got the Myrtle Beach county?

That was what I meant; I was responding to Alcon, who said Clinton won 1/46. South Carolina has 46 counties.

I thought Edwards won 2 rural counties, compared to Clinton's 1, and Obama's 43.

Edwards does not appear to have won any counties other than Oconee. He came very close in Pickens, but Obama won it.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #24 on: January 26, 2008, 09:57:03 PM »

That speech effectively turned my mom from a Hillary backer to Obama supporter. Take one away from Clinton's core constituency.

Alas, Michigan already voted.
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