To me it seems pretty silly that Obama thinks he can ACTUALLY get North Carolina (user search)
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  To me it seems pretty silly that Obama thinks he can ACTUALLY get North Carolina (search mode)
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Author Topic: To me it seems pretty silly that Obama thinks he can ACTUALLY get North Carolina  (Read 12320 times)
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: May 09, 2008, 01:10:23 AM »

It really worries me that Obama's advisors actually think that he can win North Carolina...

That is scary. Who are these incompetent people?

This is ridiculous. Everyone will claim they can win crazy states at this point. Some may even claim such right before the election. It doesn't reflect on what they believe, it's to get their supporters fired up.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: May 09, 2008, 01:20:00 AM »

He can't win North Carolina.  But maybe Virginia.

Which will be more than canceled out by his poor performance in New England, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

Uh if he wins Virginia...he certainly as all hell would be winning New Jersey and Pennsylvania....unless something whacky happens and everything is topsy turby.

PA has a lower black population.  Northeast states have more racial tension and ethnic catholics that didn't really hurt Obama in a Democratic Primary but will come back to haunt him in November.  Also, Virginia is no longer really a threshold to show Democrats are overperforming in my opinion.  Look how much Northern Virginia has grown.  That coupled with the high black population could drive him over the top even as he's losing reliably democratic states.

You clearly know very little about your own region. I'll leave it at that. Pennsylvania will be interesting; the others, no.
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Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2008, 08:17:42 PM »

For some reason, I had only this thread in my notifications. Well, now it's amusing.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2008, 09:45:41 PM »

For all we know this could be the map.



The fact that this came four states away from being right is fascinating.

Five.
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