NM-SEN: Gary Johnson in (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 12:20:10 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NM-SEN: Gary Johnson in (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NM-SEN: Gary Johnson in  (Read 3088 times)
Continential
The Op
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,594
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -5.30

P P P

« on: August 16, 2018, 12:23:27 PM »

The NM Megathread
Logged
Continential
The Op
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,594
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -5.30

P P P

« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2018, 06:18:38 AM »

I can see a path to victory for Johnson, but it is extremely narrow.

The first two steps are to get Rich out and secure dissatisfied Republican money (i.e. Koch support).

Getting Rich out would improve Johnson's odds from 0% to less than 1%. Honestly, he could flood the airwaves all he wants, but the fundamentals could hardly be stacked against him more. This isn't 2004 anymore, New Mexico has become a truly safe D state. Add that to the absurdly unfavorable environment and the fact that people are moving this race to Lean D or whatever is absolutely laughable.

If Rich drops out it’s likely
Logged
Continential
The Op
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,594
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -5.30

P P P

« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2018, 06:37:12 AM »

If Rich drops out: Safe D
If Rich stays in: Safe D
If Heinrich dies and they have to run Anthony Weiner in his place for some reason: SAFE L
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.