NH-UNH: Sununu +16 vs Kelly, +15 vs Marchand

[Zaybay]

Interesting results, almost the same as a generic D. This race should narrow as time goes on, and Sununu doesnt have the magic 50% needed.

But knowing Atlas, everyone is just going to gawk at the margin and declare the race Safe R, even though races such as these historically have trended hard in favor of the opponent every time. But whatever.

[Zaybay]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

[Zaybay]

Just like to point out that this poll shows a 10 point trend in favour of the Democrats since the last poll, done in April. And it should also be noted that this poll found that:

"Meanwhile, 73 percent of the adults surveyed said they have not yet made up their minds on their choice for governor in the Nov. 6 general election" and most who were set were the Democratic voters for the Democratic candidate.