Frankly, I thought Brindisi would win by way more than he did. Tenney was such a terrible fit for that district and the fact that it was that close tells me any Trump type R would win there. Is that Nicholas Wan guy gonna run again?
You were missing one key stat. Teeney's popularity. She was rather hated in the district, so it makes total sense why this seat flipped. Popularity, or at least relative popularity, is the best factor to tell who will win a race.
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