The 12 Mason Dixon polls

[poughies]

I think the Rhode Island number is garbage.... I'm sorry i really do. The Montana number is right on. The Ohio number understates Brown's support..... look when a republican polling firm has the Democrat further ahead, something is up.... Arizona seems fine. Santorum's number seem fine. Washington is good. New Jersey, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia all seem fine. Then we come down to two numbers that might be a little out of whack.... Tennessee and Maryland.... Look, Maryland is close... but Chuck Todd brought up an excellent point last night on Tim Russert [CNBC] and that is that Cardin is from Baltimore... usually Republicans need to do well in that area to win in the state. Sure Steele will get a good black vote, but I still don't see this being a 3 point race. Then Tennessee... I think that Ford is down anywhere from 3 to 7 points.... but 12 points.... no. If the Republican internals are showing a very close race and these polls are showing the opposite, then I think something is wrong....  We'll know in a couple of days.