Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 01:58:47 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (search mode)
Thread note


Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 171725 times)
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,110
United States


« on: March 03, 2020, 02:43:05 PM »
Quote from: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on March 03, 2020, 02:39:09 PM
Today's the Jungle for CA-25. Polls close at 11 ET. If no one hits 50%, runoff on May 12.

Is it just me or did House special elections used to happen on a much faster scale? It's unfair to let people go without representation for such a long time.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,110
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2020, 09:26:49 PM »
https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1275612030884556800

Note that Elections Daily is calling it for Jacobs. His State Senate district is also entirely within Erie County so I'd expect him to overperform Generic R there.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,110
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 15, 2020, 03:08:08 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on December 15, 2020, 02:50:07 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 13, 2020, 01:15:24 AM

No, but it is funny that the narrative they tried to build up fell flat. Tiffany performed very similarly to Walker in 2018, not like Kelly or Vukmir. Underperforming Trump by a fair amount in a special election is expected in a rural Romney +2/Trump +20 type of district. These results, if you want to extrapolate them, indicate a very competitive Wisconsin in 2020, not a blue wave.

These special elections back in May ended up being a pretty glaring hint about the proceeding political environment in November - a competitive election, not a blue wave. So in that way, 538 was right. Special elections in the current year do provide some insight, just not the insight they wanted.

Yeah. CA-25 also showed that Republicans were more resilient than people thought in suburban districts, especially in California.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 10 queries.