MD-SEN 2024: Cardin retiring, Hogan IN

[SnowLabrador]

I'm not surprised. He's pretty old, isn't he?

[SnowLabrador]

I'm skeptical that he makes this competitive, but at a minimum it'll divert D resources from the swing states, not to mention Montana and Ohio. Bad news.

[SnowLabrador]

I remember thinking polarization would cause Susan Collins to lose. Likely D because Democrats are way more open to voting for the opposite side than Republicans are atp.

I agree with this, but to be fair, Maryland's a lot bluer than Maine.

[SnowLabrador]

Trone is a stronger candidate because he doesn't publicly support Israel as much as Alsobrooks. Gaza is the number one issue of this election, at least for the youth vote.

[SnowLabrador]

If Hogan wasn’t running, how would that have changed the dynamic of the primary?

Alsobrooks would be doing better since electability wouldn’t be an issue. As it is, Hogan has a good chance - Bullock and Bredesen never led by this much or had a majority in polling.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1791065074041291206
Say what you want about his chances (I strongly support him and still think it's very unlikely he actually wins), but this is a great ad. 

That's the kind of ad he needs to run if he is going to win. I'm not saying he will win. But if he does win, ads like this will be the reason why.

[SnowLabrador]

Hogan will say whatever it takes to get elected. That doesn't mean he will be elected. But he very much has a chance here. He's not Bullock or Bredesen.