BRTD's county map predictions

[Nutmeg]

I don't know, maybe. I'm just looking at Dick Durbin's 2002 map, where he got 60% to 38% (pretty much exactly what the new Rass poll says Obama is getting right now):

Rural IL became much more conservative, and Chicago suburbs have become much more liberal since 2002.

I'm not sure I agree with that first part, but with regard to Durbin's success downstate: he's from Springfield, whereas Obama, obviously, is a Chicago pol.  So much of voting patterns in Illinois has long been driven by candidates' and parties' home bases in the three regions - Chicago, its suburbs, and everywhere else.

[Nutmeg]

You know, the only really interesting state left is Pennsylvania, but the purpose of this thread is to post county map predictions, not bitch with Phil for 10 pages about I'm a hack for predicting Obama will win Beaver county.

We'll see what comes up later tonight.

What about Georgia?  It looks like that state will have one of the larger swings toward Obama.

[Nutmeg]

You know, the only really interesting state left is Pennsylvania, but the purpose of this thread is to post county map predictions, not bitch with Phil for 10 pages about I'm a hack for predicting Obama will win Beaver county.

We'll see what comes up later tonight.

What about Georgia?  It looks like that state will have one of the larger swings toward Obama.

If there bist a huge swing to Obama in Georgia it'll be because of better Black turnout. And we know were they live anyway.

Yeah, not really interesting. Hell even Atlanta suburbs shouldn't be that interesting.

Hmm.  I guess, but I could see some swings in that, how shall I describe it, seatbelt-shaped swath of counties that went for Barnes in 2002 but Purdue in 2006.

[Nutmeg]

Bravo!

[Nutmeg]

Yay!  And that red seatbelt is back!

Funny thing, though, with regard to yard signs.  I've been in this area for work for a few weeks, and in passing through Glascock County (dark blue in that patch of red in east-central GA), I saw many more Obama and Martin signs than anything else, and in Hancock County (dark red just to the west of Glascock), I saw nearly as many McCain signs as Obama signs.  So these yard sign anecdotes are really meaningless as predictors of voting outcomes.