The upturn in March 1933 dealt more with FDR's efforts to secure the banking sector from its unstoppable decline. That was a common sense menuevre and anbody with a brain(which Hoover didn't possess) would have acted similarily. You got to have a stable saving and lending system. The Big spending items of the New Deal didn't take effect till 1934-1936 and the Second New Deal which was mostly Spending Projects in 1936-1937. In late 1936 the Economy began to slump back down and by 1938 all the gains had been wiped out and we were right back were they started in 1933
Have you been watching Chris Wallace?
We were not right back where we started in 1933* The unemployment rate was 19% as opposed to 25%,
24% lower. Source* The industrial production index (2002=100) at the low point of 1938 (April) was 6.16 as opposed to 4.14 at the low point of 1933 (March),
49% higher. For the full year, the index in 1933 was 5.40, while the index in 1938 was 6.94, or
29% higher.
* The economy did not start slumping in 1936. The Industrial Production time series for 1936-1937 is as follows:
1936-01-01 7.3050
1936-02-01 7.1246
1936-03-01 7.2148
1936-04-01 7.6657
1936-05-01 7.8160
1936-06-01 7.9663
1936-07-01 8.1167
1936-08-01 8.2369
1936-09-01 8.3872
1936-10-01 8.5075 <-- late 1936
1936-11-01 8.7480 <-- late 1936 "economy slumping", according to whatever lying media source you get your info from
1936-12-01 9.0185 <-- late 1936
1937-01-01 8.9884
1937-02-01 9.1087
1937-03-01 9.3191
1937-04-01 9.3191
1937-05-01 9.3492
1937-06-01 9.2289
1937-07-01 9.2891
All data above from
St. Louis FedFurthermore, GDP in chained 2000 dollars increased by 5.2% from $867 billion to $911 billion between 1936 and 1937.
SourceThis again contradicts the assertion that the economy began to decline in late 1936.
First of all in 1937 the federal budget was cut and an attempt was made to balance the budget in part by ending programs such as the Public Works Administration and the Works Progress Administration. As a result government spending dropped from $8.2 billion to $6.8 billion in current (1930s) dollars from 1936 to 1938, after rising from $4.7 billion in 1932. Arguably this is what caused the 1937-38 recession.
After the 1936 elections the Democrats had 76 seats in the Senate and 334 seats in the House. These numbers were never sustainable.
Actually in 1940 the economy was more than recovered from the Depression in terms of output:
We were much better off at any time in the 1970s than the early 1930s, although conservatives may not like to admit it.
So, why is
Chris Wallace lying? Why is the supposedly liberal
New York Times lying? Why is Peter Schiff, John Ensign, and Amity Shlaes lying?
What the hell is up with this revisionism?