British General Election Constituency Predictions

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I've got thirty-one seats for my Super Sixty contest so far:

Arfon
Brigg & Goole
Buckingham
Ceredigon
Cleethorpes
Clywd West
Crawley
Croydon Central
Dagenham and Rainham
Dover
Edinburgh North & Leith
Edinburgh South West
Finchley & Golders Green
Gillingham & Rainham
Guildford
Harlow
Hove
Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath
Liverpool Wavertree
Ochil & South Perthshire
Poplar and Limehouse
Rochdale
Rugby
Sheffield Hallam
Solihull
Thurrock
Watford
Waveney
Westmoreland and Lonsdale
Witney
York Outer

Does anyone have any suggestions for it?

South Down
North Down
Belfast South

North Antrim

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Labour - 44 (-17)
Conservative - 25 (+15)
Liberal Democrats - 7 (+2)

Labour holds on in Burnley?

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Labour - 44 (-17)
Conservative - 25 (+15)
Liberal Democrats - 7 (+2)

Labour holds on in Burnley?

It's a decent majority already, and Labour and the Tories lost alot of votes to an Independant in 2005.

LibDems hold council and have made a lot of progress recently (since 2005).

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Labour - 44 (-17)
Conservative - 25 (+15)
Liberal Democrats - 7 (+2)

Labour holds on in Burnley?

It's a decent majority already, and Labour and the Tories lost alot of votes to an Independant in 2005.

LibDems hold council and have made a lot of progress recently (since 2005).

The Lib Dems always do better in locals and local success doesn't exactly translate into general election success.

For example, in the last local election on the Wirral, the Lib Dems came first in Wirral South... like they'll do better than a distant third next month.

LibDem success at the local level in Burnley is a bit different though, it isn't a local pattern or a fluke. For example, the LibDem vote was quite high in Burnley in the Euros compared to the other surrounding areas.

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Shinners hold F-ST?

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Is there realistically any chance of the Conservatives being near or at their pre-1997 MP level in Scotland?

No.

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The swing to the Tories is, iirc, much smaller in Scotland than in England.

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I don't think Angus will be a Conservative gain. Polls in Scotland, iirc, show the Tory vote stagnating at or slightly above 2005 levels while the SNP are making sizeable gains from 2005, where they only polled 18% or so.

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The swing to the LibDems in Ceredigion was quite surprising in its size.