Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)

[Storr]

According to Georgia Votes, an additional 82,344 valid votes were cast yesterday; today's accepted ballot total stands at 211,861 votes: 8.31% of total 2014 turnout.

Today's total exceeded yesterday's, when more than three times the number of votes were cast when compared to the first day of early voting in 2014. Today, that number was roughly four times as many as in 2014.

The white share of the electorate surged once again, with the electorate that voted today being 62% white, 28% black and 10% other. The female share of the electorate fell again, as did the 65+ share (mostly due to 50-64 year-olds voting), with this being the first time that 65+ voters are less than 50% of the electorate. In short, the electorate (again) got whiter, more male and younger (at least when comparing extremes).

Early vote totals are 215% higher than at this point in 2014 (up from 181% yesterday).

Code:

White	121172	57.2% (+3.5)
Black	67141	31.7% (-2.7)
Latino	2853          1.3% (-0.3)
Asian	3083	         1.5%  (-0.3)
Other	17612        8.3%  (-0.1)

Female	112474	53.1% (-0.8)
Male		95314 	45.0% (+0.9)
Unknown	4073	        1.9%   (0.0)

18-29	 10628	5.0%   (-0.4)
30-39	 12268	5.8%   (+0.2)
40-49	 20426	9.6%   (+0.5)
50-64        61410	29.0%  (+1.1)
65+         103243      48.7%  (-1.6)
Unknown	  3886       1.8%   (0.0)

Out of curiosity, do we know what the 'Other' category for race is? For example, is that category mostly people of mixed heritage or mostly just people of one race where their race is not reported, missing, or something similar? 8.3% is a significant chunk of the overall number of votes, so I was wondering if we have any information that can give us insight in to which way many or most of those voters are choosing to lean.

[Storr]

Still, after all this time and all the work that's obviously been happening everywhere...it really hits you that Georgia is now a truly competitive state when you remember that Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Oprah Winfrey and Mike Pence are all making campaign stops in the state in the same 24-hour period.

I just hope it doesn't get stuck in the category of "Always close but never goes D unless it's a really good year nationally" like North Carolina seemingly has.

I could be wrong, obviously, but the massive growth in the Atlanta Metro feels a lot more reminiscent of NoVA than the Research Triangle.

What was the big difference between NoVA and the Research Triangle that prevented NC from turning into VA anyway? It seems like both of them are similarly D, but the main difference is that other metros in VA are swinging D but not really so much for NC.

I mean Atlanta and DC are considerably larger, more established metros than Raleigh

This applies to Charlotte as well.

[Storr]

Weird:

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Libertarians never fail to live up to their reputation as nuts.

[Storr]

The fact all these "revelations" are happening two days before the election makes me suspicious of anything team Kemp has to say.

[Storr]

Here we go!

[Storr]

Tom Price's evil wife may have lost her seat in the state house.

Can we quarantine her?

Maybe we can send her to Alabama.

[Storr]

Abrams is now the undisputed leader of the Democratic Party in Georgia. She can make a further impact by campaigning hard for John Barrow (and Lindy Miller--the PSC District 3 candidate) in the runoff.

The Dems won at least 12 state House seats--all in the north Atlanta suburbs.  With the 2020 census (and depopulating rural areas), metro Atlanta representation in the state legislature is going to be that much more significant in the years to come.

Stacey Abrams for Senate 2020? With how close she made it this year, who knows how it could go in a Presidential year with the increased turnout which comes with it.

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/DawgsOnTop44/status/1060649816466841605

>Democrats invest millions in a blue wave year with massive ground game
> still lose every statewide office (probably)
omg swing state probably lean D tbh omg

Did you copy this off of 4chan? Because this is on its level of analysis quality.

[Storr]

Abrams should never concede an election that was stolen by the GOP. This was a fraudulent election where voters were purged from the ballots! Kemp should be a prisoner, not a governor elect! Bourdeaux shouldn't concede either!

Yawn.

I agree. Abrams has clearly lost, and her dragging this out will only hurt the Democrats. My prediction of a Kemp victory some weeks ago was proven correct. The Democrats might finally be able to win the governorship in 2022, though.

Same with the Senate and Presidential races in 2020. Yes, it's disappointing she lost. But, the result clearly indicates Georgia is going to be competitive state for the foreseeable future. It also seems time is on the Democrats' side, as they did well in the areas of Georgia that are going the fastest.

[Storr]

Fulton done reporting now. Looks like the final statewide result is 52-48. That's actually pretty embarrassing for Republicans in a low-turnout Georgia runoff, I must say.

I have to agree, I was thinking losing 55-45 at best for Barrow.

[Storr]

AJC on Senate: Abrams seems likelier to seek a rematch with Kemp than run for Senate, but no one will move till she formally announces something. Other potential Senate candidates are Tomlinson, Nunn, Carter, Holcomb, Ossoff, but they believe the nominee is likelier to be Tomlinson or Nunn.

Having the person (Nunn) that lost to Perdue in 2014 as the 2020 Democratic nominee doesn't strike me as all that energizing, exciting, or inspiring.

[Storr]

This Senate race always seemed like it would be Tomlinson's turn. If not, what's next for her?

She could stick it out as Mayor of Columbus and wait for Bishop to retire.