Will Michele Bachmann win reelection to the House?

[minionofmidas]

Nobody knows because the court won't complete mapdrawing til some time in february.

[minionofmidas]

It won't be redrawn to be a Democratic district, no. (Although it would actually be very easy to do so if anyone wanted to, just split Saint Paul.) Bachmann's home may very easily be drawn into the Saint Paul based district, and if Dems get their way it's drawn so far out of it that she may have trouble holding it in a primary. (The real target of such a map is Paulson.)

[minionofmidas]

Minnesotans are a pretty partisan bunch. Yes, third party candidates can do quite well there, but there's an above-national-average percentage of people who'll never vote Dem or never vote Rep. And there's a lot of the former in this district.