Congressional District Results before 1992?

[Mr.Phips]

I have the 1988, 1984, 1980, 1976, and 1972 results for every district.

[Mr.Phips]

Oh, and just to avoid confusion I'm not looking for individual district results I just want to know how many districts were won by Bush, Dukakis, Reagan, Mondale, etc.

I have them back to the Nixon McGovern race in 1972.  The only thing I dont have are the 1980 results under the 1982 redistricting.

[Mr.Phips]

Oh, and just to avoid confusion I'm not looking for individual district results I just want to know how many districts were won by Bush, Dukakis, Reagan, Mondale, etc.

I have them back to the Nixon McGovern race in 1972.  The only thing I dont have are the 1980 results under the 1982 redistricting.

I'd like to know the breakdown for the elections 1972-1988, if it is not too much trouble. What's your source?

Its the Almanac of American Politics.  I can start giving you some in bits in pieces if you would like.  Do you want a specific state or year first?

[Mr.Phips]

I remember doing an analysis of 1976 some years back using the Almanac of American Politics.  I found it was close to a 269 tie between Carter and Ford.  There were enough districts that didn't report results and were probably very close, that this was tough to complete.

That year Carter won 220 districts to Ford's 215. 

[Mr.Phips]

I remember doing an analysis of 1976 some years back using the Almanac of American Politics.  I found it was close to a 269 tie between Carter and Ford.  There were enough districts that didn't report results and were probably very close, that this was tough to complete.

That year Carter won 220 districts to Ford's 215. 

So with Ford winng 27 states to Carter's 24 (including DC), if you give the statewide winner 2 EVs under the same system that Nebraska and Maine use, see what you end up with.

By my count:  Ford 269, Carter 269 (giving Carter the DC "congressional district").

And if that had been the case, I think the Democratic House just might have elected Ford.  A lot of Democrats really hated Carter. 

[Mr.Phips]

Year first would be fine.

Do you want to know how each district voted for President or the number of districts that voted for each Presidential candidate?

[Mr.Phips]

I have updated the count for 1976 although it still isn't complete:

Dem 209
Rep 205

Missing districts:  NH both; OK 4-6; TX 3,5,6,16,21,24; WA all; WV 1-2.

I can tell you who carried all of those missing ones from my 1980 Almanac.

NH-01:  Ford
NH-02:  Ford

OK-04:  Carter
OK-05:  Ford
OK-06:  Ford
TX-03:  Ford
TX-05:  Carter
TX-06:  Ford
TX-16:  Ford
TX-21:  Ford
TX-24:  Carter
WA-01:  Ford
WA-02:  Ford
WA-03:  Carter
WA-04:  Ford
WA-05:  Ford
WA-06:  Carter
WA-07:  Carter
WV-01:  Carter
WV-02:  Carter

[Mr.Phips]

Yes, 1968 posted above was of D/R only.

Including Wallace districts:
D  159
R   229
Wallace 46
namely, all 8 AL; AR 1,2,4; FL 1-3; GA 1-3, 6-10; LA 1, 4-8; all 5 MS; NC 1-3, 7; SC 3, 5; TN 5-8; TX 2; VA 4-5

In Georgia, Im assuming GA-04 went for Nixon and GA-05 for Humpherey.  In Florida, probably the only seat that went for Humpherey was the Bill Lehman seat in Dade.  In Louisiana, I assume LA-02 went for Humpherey.  In North Carolina, maybe NC-04 went for Humpherey.  In VA-02 was the only one to go for Humpherey.  In Texas, Humpherey probably won most districts except for the suburban ones. I think he even one what is now Chet Edwards' district.

[Mr.Phips]

Yes, 1968 posted above was of D/R only.

Including Wallace districts:
D  159
R   229
Wallace 46
namely, all 8 AL; AR 1,2,4; FL 1-3; GA 1-3, 6-10; LA 1, 4-8; all 5 MS; NC 1-3, 7; SC 3, 5; TN 5-8; TX 2; VA 4-5

In Georgia, Im assuming GA-04 went for Nixon and GA-05 for Humpherey.  In Florida, probably the only seat that went for Humpherey was the Bill Lehman seat in Dade.  In Louisiana, I assume LA-02 went for Humpherey.  In North Carolina, maybe NC-04 went for Humpherey.  In VA-02 was the only one to go for Humpherey.  In Texas, Humpherey probably won most districts except for the suburban ones. I think he even one what is now Chet Edwards' district.

Yes. Yes.  FL 11 only HHH seat.  Yes. Wrong.  NC4 Nixon.  Yes.  HHH won TX 1, 6, 8-12, 14-17, 20, 23.

What almanac are you referring to for 1976 CD presidential results?  AAP 1978 & 1980 does not have those districts.

Thanks.  I have the Barone one.  Many of these districts were basically the same in the 1960's as the 70's.  I am just guessing how they voted in 1968 by the counties in the districts.  I also know that in 1968, both CO-01 and CO-03 went for Humpherey.  CO-03 went for him by around 75 votes.  In Kentucky, im pretty sure KY-03 and KY-07 went for Humphrey and likely KY-01 as well.  Am I right?

[Mr.Phips]

Colorado 1 went for Humphrey; Colorado 3 went for Nixon by 7307 votes.  All three of the Kentucky districts you mentioned went for Humphrey.    You still haven't said what your source is for the presidential vote in 1976 for the districts I am missing.  It is not in AAP 78 or 80 for those districts.

They are in the 82 book. 

[Mr.Phips]

Colorado 1 went for Humphrey; Colorado 3 went for Nixon by 7307 votes.  All three of the Kentucky districts you mentioned went for Humphrey.    You still haven't said what your source is for the presidential vote in 1976 for the districts I am missing.  It is not in AAP 78 or 80 for those districts.

I was thinking CO-03 after the 1971 redistricting.  They made the seat more Democratic in order to create CO-05 for Repubicans by removing Colorado Springs and Humphrey won the new post 1971 CO-03 by around 80 votes.  Same states like Indiana and California were changed so much in 1971 redistricting that I cant even begin to estimate how those districts voted.  All I can say is that IN-01 would have voted for Humphrey.  I assume Humphrey carried every district in Massachussetts except for the possible exception of MA-11.   Both Maine districts went for Humphrey.  OK-02, OK-03, and possibly OK-04 went for Humphrey.   In Maryland the only district to go for Humphrey would have been MD-07 and probably MD-08, even though he narrowly won the state.   In Missouri, MO-01, MO-03, and MO-05 surely went for Humphrey with a good chance of MO-08 doing so as well.   In Ohio, I can say for sure than OH-03 went for Humphrey.  In Minnesota, Humphrey carried every district but MN-03 and possibly MN-01.  In Oregon, Humphrey carried OR-03 and maybe OR-01.

Am I right?

[Mr.Phips]

In Maine, Humphrey won the 1st 55-43 and the 2nd 55-43 too.  He won every MA district, closest one being the 12th (53-43).  In Oklahoma, Humphrey got the 3rd 39-35, but lost the 2nd 45-34 and the 4th 41-37.  He did pretty poorly in the other districts.  In Maryland, Humphrey won the 7th and 8th, and also won the 5th 42-41.  In Missouri, Humphrey only won the 1st, 3rd, and 5th.  The 8th (which no longer exists) went Nixon 54-36.  Other districts went for Nixon by much smaller margins; the 2nd 46-43, the 4th 48-40, the 6th 49-41, the 9th 45-42, and the 10th (which is now the 8th) 42-39.  In Minnesota, Nixon win the 2nd 50-46.  Humphrey won the rest.  In Oregon, Humphrey won the 3rd.  The 1st voted Nixon 54-41.  In Ohio, Humphrey won the 3rd, 9th, 13th, 14th, and 18th-22nd.  This is all according to the 1974 almanac, which used the 1970s versions of the districts.  Some of them changed a lot, but others might not have.

Thanks.  I also wonder about Wisconsin in 1968.  Humphrey won the old WI-04 and WI-05 for sure, probably won WI-02, and had an outside chance of winning WI-07 but probably did not.

[Mr.Phips]

Did McGovern win the 7th in Washington?  Or did he loose in narrowly?

McGovern actually lost WA-07 by 12 points. 

[Mr.Phips]

Did McGovern win the 7th in Washington?  Or did he loose in narrowly?

McGovern actually lost WA-07 by 12 points. 

OMG.  So he lost the city of Seattle?  Or did it only cover some of Seattle at the time?

The district included all of Seattle plus more of suburban King county, which went heavily for Nixon.