DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 06, 2024, 05:08:45 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats  (Read 7701 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


« on: August 24, 2017, 03:14:20 PM »

This would be pretty pathetic for Dems.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2017, 03:14:46 PM »

This would be pretty pathetic for Dems given the hole that they are starting in.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2017, 04:02:09 PM »

This would be pretty pathetic for Dems.

Yes, this is only marginally better in terms of seats than what Democrats got when they won the House PV by ~1% in 2012. I'm not sure if DDHQ wrote on any projected House PV win margin in this article, but the idea that it would be just 2% or so (which is what a +12 seat gain might suggest) seems laughable right now. Democrats have consistently been up 8 - 10 points on the generic ballot for months.

I get that it's just a projection, but it seems pretty weak given all the other evidence we are seeing of a possible wave next year.

They were basing this projection based on a PV advantage of 8.4% (the current HuffPo average).

Lol, I'll eat a cockroach if Dems get 54% of the House vote, but only 46% of the seats. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 12 queries.