Im not talking about why he was losing , I'm talking why he was losing by 7-9 points before the first debate which is a much bigger margin than he actually lost by in November.
If he lost by 7-9 points this would be the map
Bush gets anywhere to 355-356 electoral votes if he wins by 7-9 points in 2004.
Did the debate change the ball game that much where the election turned from a solid Bush victory to a narrow Bush victory . Heck even before September the election was looking like it was going to be a narrow victory for Bush, what happened in September that gave Bush such a large lead.
This is basically what state polls showed in mid September, although I am pretty sure Kerry still led in Michigan and maybe Oregon.
