Rothenberg House ratings (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 11:26:06 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Rothenberg House ratings (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Rothenberg House ratings  (Read 3245 times)
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW
« on: October 10, 2007, 04:43:00 PM »


I think you'd have to put it on there for now.  On paper, it looks like a strong challenge.

In Illinois the GOP is in trouble. Here are my odds for Dems flipping GOP seats.

...

IL-14--45%
IL-18--30%
IL-13--30%

...

The odds of the GOP flipping IL-08 are probably about 5%.

Me thinks you overestimate the Democrats' chances in these seats, R+5 all.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW
« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2007, 09:52:34 PM »

Still, if the GOP has to defend the seats listed, ranging all the way up to R+8, it's better off doing it during a Presidential year when Hillary is on the ballot.

Unless she totally has coattails as conservatives go wild over her Baby Bond plan!
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW
« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2007, 10:00:22 PM »

PURE TOSS-UP (6 R, 4 D)
VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)

Rothenberg must be privy to some insider knowledge.

Or he's just skittish after being bitten in MA-05.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.