JB Pritker trailed congressional Democrats in the collar counties

[lfromnj]

Pritzker himself wasn't that popular.

In additional you're probably seeing a lot of residual strength for the GOP in some places which was mostly easily reflected in the Gubernatorial race. Though, that being said, 2018 was a huge shift in that state numbers started seriously reflecting national numbers in a lot of places like DuPage, Will, and Champaign,

yeah you saw that Orange county gubernatorial will probably go republican and whoever gets rekt by Bevin in 2019 might still win Elliot.

[lfromnj]

Was there that much reason to prefer one corrupt billionaire over another corrupt billionaire?

yeah one is gonna work with Daddy Madigan.

[lfromnj]

Rauner did better than I thought he would tbh. Pritzker's gonna be a terrible governor (really anyone who would be IL gov right now is gonna have a terrible time of it) so Dems should just hope they made enough gains to offset the inevitable backlash when the state falls apart

I love just how blunt everyone here is about Pritzker. NOBODY'S expecting ANYTHING 🤣🤣🤣

I mean what else do you expect from the guy literally asking for patronage from Rod blago. Honestly although I hate the argument of muh downstate Illinois should be seperated I do feel a bit for this. Like this just sucks.

[lfromnj]

Of course. Pritzker is trash and Rauner despite his failed tenure as governor was a pretty good fit for the Collar Counties.

I wish IL Dems could've nominated a strong candidate like Obama or Duckworth to make the IL GOP suffer even more. Maybe they could've dragged Rodney Davis down in the process.

Will Davis's district swing right enough in 2020 that he should be good in the 20's or will dems gerrymander it with the 12th.

[lfromnj]

Controversial candidate JB Pritzker accomplished what Gavin Newsom coud not do. Win the quintessential GOP suburban bastion of the state.

Considering how Democratic these late OC drops have been, I bet the county flips before December. there is only a 40K vote gap, and dems look to sweep the Districts there right now.

Wouldn't that mean Duncan Hunter and Valadao go down too if late ballots are that friendly?

[lfromnj]

Of course. Pritzker is trash and Rauner despite his failed tenure as governor was a pretty good fit for the Collar Counties.

I wish IL Dems could've nominated a strong candidate like Obama or Duckworth to make the IL GOP suffer even more. Maybe they could've dragged Rodney Davis down in the process.

I'm still sore about Rodney Davis just barely hanging on. Pritzker lost counties like McLean and Sangamon while Betsy Dirksen Londrigan won them, so I kind of blame Pritzker just a little. If we'd had someone not completely disgusting at the top of the ticket, she may have picked up the couple thousand votes she needed to win.

come on its pretty obvious Daddy Madigan will gerrymander the 12th and the 13th as it wouldn't remove dem areas for other districts.

[lfromnj]

We run competitive campaigns in downstate despite the counter wave. We should look at it from a neutral light at the very least.

I mean Brendan Kelly was basically the strongest recruit you could get there and he still lost by 4 even adding the Green party vote.
The 13th swung R but it didn't do so massively because of UIUC so its prety obvious to combine East St louis with UIUC in 2020.

[lfromnj]

We run competitive campaigns in downstate despite the counter wave. We should look at it from a neutral light at the very least.

I mean Brendan Kelly was basically the strongest recruit you could get there and he still lost by 4 even adding the Green party vote.
The 13th swung R but it didn't do so massively because of UIUC so its prety obvious to combine East St louis with UIUC in 2020.

They will probably do that but it would be a very ugly looking district.

Bustos should run for US Senate if Durbin retires in 2020. Her district will probably go Republican pretty soon.

yeah at the same time it looks like she is the only one who can hold it long term but then again a wave will PROBABLY take her down. She did win by 20 in 2016 which was decent.

[lfromnj]

Yeah bustos looks like she might be in for a race in 2020 as I warned you all. It starts as Likely D to me if even rauner can almost carry in 2018.

[lfromnj]

how competetive will Illinois 13th be in 2020. It looks like it will probably trend right due to the rurals but the college counties might be enough to counteract it.

[lfromnj]

Incredible that Pritzker won 13 but Londrigan couldn't pull it off. Davis is not popular.

thats due to Mccann though. Londrigan had to get a majority. Anyway this is still relatively competetive in 2020 due to springfield bloomington and Urbana.