Will Macron get reelected?

[Frenchrepublican]

Yeah, it's very likely, at least at the moment.

Firstly Macron has a pretty good approval rate of around 40%, which is quite good for a French president, to give you an idea Hollande was at 27% in 2016 and Sarkozy was at 31% in 2011.

Secondly Macron doesn't have a serious challenger and it's hard to see who could mount a serious campaign against him : Le Pen is guaranteed to get around 1/5 of the electorate and will likely get a place in the second round, but she is too weak and too toxic to be a real threat to Macron / the left is deeply divided and it's hard to see who could unite it, Hidalgo (the mayor of the city of Paris) will likely try to get the socialist nomination, but Melechon doesn't appreciate her and will not defer to her, the Greens will= likely put a candidate too, so the left will be divided between three candidates, if not more / LR has been weakened considerably by Macron as the centrists have left the party and only represents around 12% of the electorate and they are deeply divided, most of the LR establishment wants to support Bertrand, but Bertrand is no longer a member of the party and many militants hate him and are backing the more conservative Retailleu (a senator close to Fillon)