Strategic Vision Polls from Ohio, Iowa, Penn, "Cheesehead Land", Jersey

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Kerry loses a point in each of these polls when Nader is included, putting Bush +1 in PA, +3 in IA, +5 in WI, and -5 in NJ.  Bush is actually +8 in OH with Nader included, but I don't think Nader is on the ballot there.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Also note that these polls represent a uniform gain of 2 points for Kerry since their last round of polls, except for NJ, where Kerry has gained 5.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Anyone who thinks Bush +5 in Ohio is not a realistic situation needs to take his/her medication

The only polls that showed a Kerry "surge" in Ohio are ARG (total trash) and SurveyUSA.

SurveyUSA has had Kerry +1 in California before.

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Okay, I know we all hate Zogby, but if they had KERRY +2 in 2000, this guy's insane

<<hides head in shame and humiliation>>

That would be Gore +2 in 2000

..and according to Zogby Bush GAINED 9% in the last 7 days to make it close in florida...

Gore 48 / Bush 46 / Nader 6 said Zogby in Florida 2000

Wouldn't really be any worse than some of the swings we've seen in Gallup this year.

These Strategic Vision polls seem pretty good, but generally a point or two favorable to Republicans.  But I think ARG has also been pretty good, just a couple point favorable to Dems.