Yeah, that map makes no sense. Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, California... no.
A uniform swing to 50-50 from 2004 would flip Iowa and New Mexico to the Democrats (both >50%), still a narrow Republican victory. Nevada would fall to GOP >40% while NY, RI and VT would rise to Dem >60% and WI to Dem >50%.
49.5-49.5?
Hmmm.... with trends, I would see Colorado and Nevada as DEM and NM, WI as GOPPER with IA switching...as opposed to 2000/2004 with McCain Obama
basically 2004 with Obama doing better in the SW and getting under 40 in KY...maybe IN.
