Iowa Suffolk Poll - Hillary: 54% Sanders: 20%

[Marokai Backbeat]

Looks like Sanders is stalling big time in Iowa, even while gaining nationally and especially in New Hampshire. Very good news for Clinton; things are looking very 2000-esque.

Except there was no Joe Biden-like factor in 2000.

I do think it's very weird that Clinton is supposedly doing better in Iowa than she is nationally. I find it almost impossible to believe actually.

It's very bizarre because I don't think anyone ever expected Iowa to be a stubborn Hillary state. It's never been super kind to the Clintons, and demographically you'd also expect it to be a better environment to Sanders. But here we are.

[Marokai Backbeat]

NH polling is notoriously unreliable though. If Hillary wins Iowa, I would definitely favour her to also win NH.

I tend to agree. Bernie's only hope of winning the nomination is convincing victories in both Iowa and NH. He needs that one-two punch for any hope of momentum going into the two following, minority-heavy contests. He loses either Iowa or NH and he's done, and most likely done even with them.