2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 210084 times)
Brittain33
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« Reply #25 on: June 01, 2018, 07:30:35 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on June 01, 2018, 12:31:23 AM
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on May 31, 2018, 11:59:45 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 31, 2018, 11:48:53 PM
It seems the Dem. advantage has narrowed down to about 2% from about 8-10% a few months ago.

We'll need to wait for the TX and OH special elections to see if this is true or not ...

Where are you getting 2%?

Look at today's RCP average.

It's 3% right now, with the last few polls only showing a 1-3% advantage ...

Please don't look at the (R)CP average for this.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #26 on: June 04, 2018, 12:03:49 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on June 04, 2018, 11:51:06 AM
Because of gerrymandering, I don't think they'll win the House, but I think it's almost certain they'll win the Senate.

That's quite a prediction.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #27 on: June 04, 2018, 01:24:00 PM »

People think he's his brother?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #28 on: June 04, 2018, 08:04:12 PM »
Vito Fossella should join the primary, too.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #29 on: June 06, 2018, 11:03:09 AM »
Quote from: Redneck Conservative on June 06, 2018, 09:20:34 AM
Love will win imo. That district is very conservative and they have finally started liking her

Why aren’t they telling pollsters, then?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #30 on: June 07, 2018, 09:53:16 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on June 07, 2018, 08:05:30 AM
To be quite frank, the Democrats need to find a better leader than Pelosi.

Pelosi is a very effective leader who is unpopular. We'll have to see if she has the votes to be Speaker—that's going to resolve it one way or another. (And if Dems are a minority, she definitely steps down.)
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Brittain33
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« Reply #31 on: June 12, 2018, 07:13:49 PM »
The Resistance has ticked up .1 to 47.6%.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #32 on: June 14, 2018, 11:27:36 AM »
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on June 14, 2018, 09:49:18 AM
The reason that Democrats will vote at a greater rate this year is that they hate or dislike Trump as much as Republicans hated or disliked Obama or would have hated or disliked Hillary. 

It helps that Trump has alienated the majority of Independents and a small number of Republicans, too. On the other hand, lots of Republicans seem unusually jazzed about Trump's governing philosophy.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #33 on: June 19, 2018, 03:18:11 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on June 19, 2018, 03:10:18 PM
Tenney is DOA

McGrath's chances are north of 80%

The New Jersey delegation is looking likelier to have only one Republican.

I haven't seen good evidence that Lance is going down.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #34 on: June 25, 2018, 11:28:20 AM »
I don't see any reason to exclude single-state GCB polls from this thread.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #35 on: June 26, 2018, 11:29:18 AM »
Quote from: 1-Term Donnelly on June 26, 2018, 11:18:32 AM
Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

NJ-11 is R+3, so it suggests a D+7 generic, if true.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #36 on: June 26, 2018, 11:42:42 AM »
Has Sean Trende moved VA-10 from Likely R to Lean R yet?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #37 on: June 26, 2018, 02:16:58 PM »
Remember that AZ Senate still has a divided primary and that will depress R totals for any individual candidate before there's a winner.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #38 on: June 27, 2018, 11:04:31 AM »
Locking and opening vol. 2.
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