The only states I can see flipping in this scenario are Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire to the Cs. The former two are Dem states, but tend to lean pretty strongly moderate and might wind up choosing the far-right over the far-left. And New Hampshire has a weird streak.
New Hampshire is too socially liberal to become a Constitution Party hub. Colorado at least got pockets of major social conservative spots to make it a real battleground state in this hypothetical scenario. Virginia would swing Constitution just for the Greens not having many voters that would get their platform, though I see the problem arising electorally beyond the NOVA suburbs than inside the burbs.
As a NH resident since 2017, it's UK Tory. It's socially liberal but anti-woke. The dominant swing voters are MA transplants from the 1990s and 2000s who almost uniformly voted R in MA state elections even if they split or were D in federal races.
The Greens are not socially liberal but for social "justice". That is urban, young, graduate culture, in a state which is based around small towns, families, and where the poor tend to be whites in fading mill towns, not underemployed college grads. It's also an extremely white state.
Really New Hampshire would be worse for the Greens than VA and CO as both have people who would vote for them. There is almost zero base for the Greens outside a few campuses in NH.
