Political future of FL Governor Ronald DeSantis (R) (user search)
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  Political future of FL Governor Ronald DeSantis (R) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Political future of FL Governor Ronald DeSantis (R)  (Read 3333 times)
S019
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Posts: 18,388
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« on: March 07, 2019, 04:03:03 PM »

C

I think he’ll become a lobbyist once he’s done being a lobbyist

As for the Presidency
2024 Nominee: Mike Pence if Trump wins, wide open if Trump loses
So, he should hope Trump loses in 2020, and then run for 2024 nom and face an incumbent Democrat with probably 50-50 approval, but in that case 2024 primary will be contested

Senate:
Scott and Rubio are not going anywhere, unless the voters want them to
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,388
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2019, 12:58:13 AM »

Florida is a very backwards state to elect this racist man.

That's completely within the bounds of reality for Florida.


I trust you when it comes to Florida since the 2018 elections. Unfortunately he probably will be President one day. It makes me sick. The question though is when does he run? 2024 or 2028? He will almost definitely be re-elected in 2022 after all.
Actually, I think he could potentially be endangered in 2022 (especially if Morgan runs, which is why he has been so progressive on the marijuana issue) simply due to voter fatigue. Florida is trending red, but we're not Utah. I highly doubt the GOP dominance will last through 2026, if DeSantis is reelected (which seems likely).

You will probably disagree, but I don't see Trump losing reelection. Certainly not impeached at least. But 2020 will probably still be as much as an uphill climb for Trump as 2016 was, despite my confidence in his reelection. 2020 will decide if DeSantis runs in 2024 or 2028. We're all going to be absolutely exhausted by eight years of Trump, and I'm certain a Democrat will win in 2024. If I were advising DeSantis, (and God willing if my dreams come true, I'll be working as a speechwriter for him one day - a complete delusion, I know Tongue), I'd tell him that 2028 will put him roughly in the same position as Mitt Romney in 2012.

Accept of course DeSantis would win, because he's not an evil corporate bad guy like Romney, but that depends on the Democrat's drift to the left continues at the pace it currently is.


If Trump wins reelection, the 2024 nominee will almost certainly be Mike Pence, the last two VPs didn't run, because Cheney had health issues and Biden was basically forced by Obama to stay out of the race, ignoring those two races (2008 and 2016), the last time an incumbent President or VP was not nominated was 1948 (when Alben Barkley ran, but was rejected, because he was too old), the last election excluding 2008 and 2016, when an incumbent President or Vice President was notva candidate was 1928, when Sec of Comnerce Hoover defeated Gov Smith, the historical precedent here is that Pence will be the nominee, plus Trump really does not trust much of his cabinet, except Pompeo, but would Trump try to keep Pence out of the race. I think Trump would endorse Pence and Pence would lose the General to a Democrat, probably Gavin Newsom
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