I would not at all be surprised if the Democratic nominee hit 60% in Gwinnett in 2020
Wouldn't they be winning statewide if they hit 60% here?
Not necessarily but it’d be at least a coin flip. Gwinnett zoomed left from 2012–>2016 by double digits and then zoomed left from 2016–>2018 by another absurd 8%. There’s no reason to think getting 60% there is unreasonable given how fast it’s growing and how fast the GOP seems hellbent on turning suburban voters away
Right, but given that rural white areas in Georgia are maxed out for Republicans, I think a Democrat who's hitting 60% in Gwinnett has to be winning statewide, unless turnout among rural black and Hispanic voters is way down outside of the ATL area for some reason.