US House Redistricting: Texas

[JohnnyLongtorso]

http://gis1.tlc.state.tx.us/

Base Plan C115.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Apparently this Laudenberg woman isn't on the redistricting committee, so the map (C115) is probably not the one the Republicans intend to pass.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Drawing these districts in DRA is really hard because so many precincts are split. This is what I have so far:

TX-10 - goes from 55% McCain to about 56% McCain.
TX-15 - stays the same, still around 60% Obama.
TX-16 - goes from 66% Obama to 67% Obama.
TX-23 - goes from 51% Obama to about 52% McCain.
TX-27 - this one goes from 53% Obama to about 59% McCain.
TX-28 - goes from 56% Obama to about 60-61% Obama.
TX-33 - the new Fort Worth/Arlington district is about 57% McCain.
TX-34 - the replacement Ortiz district is about 60% Obama.
TX-35 - a new Hispanic-majority San Antonio-Austin district is about 59-60% Obama.
TX-36 - a new Houston-Beaumont earmuff district is about 59-60% McCain.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

TX-20 goes from 63% Obama to about 59% Obama.
TX-21 goes froom 58% McCain to about 56-57% McCain.
TX-25 goes from 59% Obama to 56% McCain. Ouch.

I'm done for now, this is making my mouse hand hurt.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

More district numbers, all that's left is the Houston area.

TX-01 - stays the same at 69% McCain.
TX-03 - goes from 57% McCain to 62% McCain.
TX-04 - goes from 69% McCain to about 70-71% McCain.
TX-05 - goes from 63% McCain to about 62-63% McCain.
TX-06 - goes from 60% McCain to 58% McCain.
TX-11 - stays the same at 76% McCain.
TX-12 - goes from 63% McCain to 57% McCain.
TX-13 - goes from 77% McCain to 78% McCain.
TX-17 - goes from 67% McCain to 59% McCain.
TX-19 - stays the same at 72% McCain.
TX-24 - goes from 55% McCain to 59% McCain.
TX-26 - goes from 58% McCain to about 60% McCain.
TX-30 - stays the same at 82% Obama.
TX-31 - goes from 58% McCain to 57% McCain.
TX-32 - goes from 53% McCain to about 55-56% McCain.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Okay, last batch.

TX-02 goes from 60% McCain to 64-65% McCain.
TX-07 goes from 58% McCain to 60% McCain.
TX-08 stays the same at 74% McCain.
TX-09 goes from 77% Obama to 74-75% Obama.
TX-14 goes from 66% McCain to 65% McCain.
TX-18 goes from 77% Obama to 79-80% Obama.
TX-22 goes from 58% McCain to 64% McCain.
TX-29 goes from 62% Obama to 66-67% Obama.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Here's the entire state:


TX-01 - 69% McCain
TX-02 - 64-65% McCain
TX-03 - 62% McCain
TX-04 - 70-71% McCain
TX-05 - 62-63% McCain
TX-06 - 58% McCain
TX-07 - 60% McCain
TX-08 - 74% McCain
TX-09 - 74-75% Obama
TX-10 - 56% McCain
TX-11 - 76% McCain
TX-12 - 57% McCain
TX-13 - 78% McCain
TX-14 - 65% McCain
TX-15 - 60% Obama
TX-16 - 67% Obama
TX-17 - 59% McCain
TX-18 - 79-80% Obama
TX-19 - 72% McCain
TX-20 - 59% Obama
TX-21 - 56-57% McCain
TX-22 - 64% McCain
TX-23 - 52% McCain
TX-24 - 59% McCain
TX-25 - 56% McCain
TX-26 - 60% McCain
TX-27 - 59% McCain
TX-28 - 60-61% Obama
TX-29 - 66-67% Obama
TX-30 - 82% Obama
TX-31 - 57% McCain
TX-32 - 55-56% McCain
TX-33 - 57% McCain
TX-34 - 60% Obama
TX-35 - 59-60% Obama
TX-36 - 59-60% McCain

36 districts with only one competitive in a general election (TX-23). Pretty impressive work.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Okay, last batch.

TX-02 goes from 60% McCain to 64-65% McCain.
TX-07 goes from 58% McCain to 60% McCain.
TX-08 stays the same at 74% McCain.
TX-09 goes from 77% Obama to 74-75% Obama.
TX-14 goes from 66% McCain to 65% McCain.
TX-18 goes from 77% Obama to 79-80% Obama.
TX-22 goes from 58% McCain to 64% McCain.
TX-29 goes from 62% Obama to 66-67% Obama.

Maybe I misread that TX-22.    Ugh.

It's 13% Asian, so perhaps there's a big Vietnamese population in Fort Bend or they're not registered to vote (or a combination of both).

[JohnnyLongtorso]

At least until the inevitable court challenge.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Judges to draw interim map.