elcorazon
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,402
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« on: February 19, 2008, 12:19:19 PM » |
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I think that after the tremendous win by Obama last week, the perception among the "experts" was that a slight edge to obama in Wisconsin might grow to another double digit obama victory, increasing his momentum for ohio and pa.
the polls never really showed obama increasing his lead, although a couple showed enough of a lead to convince many supporters and experts to assume that the above scenario might be playing out.
in recent days, polls continue to show the race as quite close and you also have the arg poll showing clinton ahead... this has led many who bought into the obama momentum theory to back away...
also part of the theory that obama was rolling to a big win has to do with the perception that obama does well where he goes in and works hard and people get to know him and that hillary was seemingly focused on ohio and texas even before wisconsin got going...
the end result is that many "experts" thought obama would win by double digits... most now feel it's a likely obama win, but could be very tight...
this is the "tightening". I don't think J.J.'s correct that the "polling" shows a tightening, but somehow the perceptions today are that the race will be much closer than many expected a week ago.
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