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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Process (Moderator: muon2)
  Hillarious (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hillarious  (Read 4458 times)
The Mikado
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« on: May 31, 2009, 04:22:28 PM »

Am i the only one who finds it hillarious that the networks call the safe states using exit poll data, and even call some of the battleground states before even a 1/4 of the votes have been counted (for example, Ohio for Obama in 2008, Florida for Gore in 2008 etc)? It's hillarious. The exit polls are JUST polls, they COULD go wrong. At least 75% of the vote should be counted in every state in my opinion before it is called.

Not THAT wrong.  If a candidate is up 30% with a 2% margin of error (exit polls are usually around that), why would you hesitate to call Utah for McCain?  I mean, the odds of being wrong at one tail end of 7.5 confidence intervals...I'm not even going to look it up.

For some reason the media tends to call blue states before red states. In 2004, They called NJ & CT immediately but waitied to call MO & AZ.

Usually, but remember how late into the night they called PA for Kerry in 2004?

And MO last time was called days later than it should've been, but it was DEAD even for election night.
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