FL-Mason Dixon: Clinton 45 Trump 42 // Biden 50 Trump 40

[Sbane]

The problem with that calculator is assuming uniform swings in the white vote. I can see small GOP swings in Appalachia, northeast that is countered by Dem swings in the west.

I can definitely see fairly substantial swings in the white vote towards Trump in the Northeast but a swing away in many other parts of the country. This is why I feel Pennsylvania, and to a lesser extent Virginia, are the key to this election.