WA-NPI/PPP: Warren @ 60% vs. Trump in Washington (user search)
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  WA-NPI/PPP: Warren @ 60% vs. Trump in Washington (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA-NPI/PPP: Warren @ 60% vs. Trump in Washington  (Read 1087 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: November 02, 2019, 07:55:47 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on November 01, 2019, 01:16:19 PM
Quote from: Beef on November 01, 2019, 01:15:08 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on November 01, 2019, 10:57:22 AM
Trump matching his 2016 number in a D poll is not bad for him.

His opponent bettering Hillary by 6 to 8 points is, however.

A. It's a D poll
B. That WA third party voters from 2016 would break D would not be in the least surprising. I suspect this overstates the degree to which that will occur.

Trump will have a hard time winning if he only matches his numbers from 2016. He squeezed by in 2016 due to third party votes. If the Democrat can get up from 48% to even 50%, they win.
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