Simplified view on situation in Arab countries

[TheGlobalizer]

I agree, in part.  I think you overstate the evenness of regime vs. opposition in both cases.

In Syria particularly, there is a disconnect between notions of modernity and the medieval crackdown by Assad that isn't just a religious affiliation issue.  Major protests have occurred throughout the country, even in traditional areas of support for the regime.

In Libya, it's not a clean split between west and east (Tripoli and Cyrenaica/Beghazi) as some of the tribal allegiances have shifted.

I agree that they're more complicated than Egypt and especially Tunisia, and largely due to the fact that Libya and Syria both have strong mukhabarat that are deeply connected to a personality-driven regime.  Mubarak was always second/third/fourth fiddle to Nasser et al., and Ben Ali was simply weak.