GOP VP nomination
Rubio 32.0
Christie 9.6
McDonnell 8.5
Martinez 6.8
Ryan 6.1
Portman 4.3
Daniels 3.9
Thune 3.6
Santorum 3.5
Jindal 2.6
Rubio, Christie, Ryan, Portman, Santorum all way too high (even if Rubio is frontrunner). McDonnell, Martinez seem too low.
You really think Martinez has a better than 7% chance of being chosen?
Yes but also I'm not that familiar with her so I'm just assuming she carries herself better than Palin. Romney will pick his running mate probably just over 2 months before Election Day. Who knows how the next 4+ months go but it seems to me there's a better than even chance that Romney will, like McCain 2008, realize he's likely headed for a loss without a game change, and similarly roll the dice with a nakedly political pick. And I think her chances, like McDonnell's, are dragged down by unrealistically high prices for alternatives. No way will Romney pick Ryan. Christie also seems very inflated, no pun intended. Santorum, only if you consider a 3.5 chance (or slightly more) chance of a brokered convention. 0% Romney runs with him otherwise.
Martinez would carry herself better than Palin, but I don't think she wants in. I can see her doing a second term as governor, wrapping up in 2018 and running in 2020 for the prez spot. I think 7% is too high but token woman / token Hispanic keeps her above the de minimis level.
FWIW, I haven't heard her speak but she's apparently a very impressive speaker.
Rubio, Christie, and McDonnell are too high. Daniels and Jindal are probably too low. DeMint and Fortuno should be in the discussion.
