European Parliament elections, June 2024

[M0096]

Poland (my projection):
PiS [ECR] - 18 seats (-9)
KO [mostly EPP] - 18 seats (+4)
TD [EPP/RE] - 9 seats (+6)
Konfederacja [ID/NI] - 4 seats (+4)
Lewica [S&D] - 4 seats (-4)

Leaders of lists in every constituency:

1 (Pomerania) likely composition: KO - 1 (-1), PiS - 1 (nc)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Anna Fotyga (MEP, former minister of foreign affairs)
KO - [PO-EPP] Janusz Lewandowski (MEP, former european commisary of budget)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Wioleta Tomczak (member of Sejm)
Konfederacja - [NN-NI] Przemysław Wipler (member of Sejm, carpetbagger from Warsaw suburbs)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Katarzyna Ueberhan (member of Sejm, carpetbagger from Poznan)

2 (Kuyavia-Pomerania) likely composition: KO - 1 (nc), PiS - 1 (nc)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Kosma Złotowski (MEP)
KO - [PO-EPP] Krzysztof Brejza (MEP, former member of Sejm and Senator)
TD - [PSL-EPP] Ryszard Bober (Senator)
Konfederacja - [KKP-ID] Sławomir Ozdyk
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Piotr Kowal

3 (Podlachia & Warmia-Masuria) likely composition: PiS - 1 (-1), KO - 1 (nc), TD - 1 (+1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Maciej Wąsik (former deputy minister of Interior, convicted of abuse of powers, carpetbagger from Warsaw)
KO - [PO-EPP] Jacek Protas (deputy minister of regional politics)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Paweł Zalewski (deputy minister of defence, carpetbagger from Warsaw)
Konfederacja - [RN-NI] Piotr Lisiecki
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Bożena Przyłuska

4 (Warsaw & Warsaw's suburbs) likely composition: KO - 2 (nc), PiS - 1 (-1), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 1 (-1), Konfederacja - 1 (+1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Małgorzata Gosiewska (former deputy marshal/speaker of Sejm)
KO - [PO-EPP] Marcin Kierwiński (minister of interior)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Michał Kobosko (member of Sejm)
Konfederacja - [RN-NI] Krystian Kamiński (former member of Sejm, carpetbagger from Zielona Góra)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Robert Biedroń (MEP, co-leader of Lewica)

5 (Masovia except Warsaw metropolitan area) likely composition: PiS - 1 (-1), KO - 1 (+1), TD - 1 (nc)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Adam Bielan (MEP)
KO - [PO-EPP] Andrzej Halicki (MEP)
TD - [PSL-EPP] Bożena Żelazowska (deputy minister of culture and national heritage)
Konfederacja - [KKP-ID] Rafał Foryś
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Anna Maria Żukowska (parliamentary club leader)

6 (Łódź) likely composition: PiS - 1 (-1), KO - 1 (+1), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 0 (-1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Witold Waszczykowski (MEP, former minister of foreign affairs)
KO - [iPL-NI] Dariusz Joński (member of Sejm)
TD - [PSL-EPP] Jolanta Zięba-Gzik (member of Sejm)
Konfederacja - [NN-NI] Jacek Wilk (former member of Sejm, carpetbagger from Warsaw)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Marek Belka (MEP, former prime minister)

7 (Greater Poland) likely composition: KO - 2 (+1), PiS - 1 (-1), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 1 (-1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Wojciech Kolarski (presidential minister, carpetbagger from Lesser Poland)
KO - [PO-EPP] Ewa Kopacz (MEP, former prime minister, carpetbagger from Masovia)
TD - [PSL-EPP] Krzysztof Hetman (minister of development and technology, former MEP, carpetbagger from Lublin)
Konfederacja - [RN-NI] Anna Bryłka (deputy leader of Ruch Narodowy/National Movement)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Joanna Scheuring-Wielgus (deputy minister of culture and national heritage, carpetbagger from Kuyavia-Pomerania)

8 (Lublin) likely composition: PiS - 1 (-1), KO - 1 (+1), TD - 0 (-1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Mariusz Kamiński (former minister of interior, convicted of abuse of powers, carpetbagger from Warsaw)
KO - [PO-EPP] Marta Wcisło (member of Sejm)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Sławomir Ćwik (member of Sejm)
Konfederacja - [EC-NI] Mirosław Piotrowski (former MEP)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Agata Fisz (former mayor of Chełm)

9 (Subcarpathia) likely compostion: PiS - 2 (nc), KO - 1 (nc)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Daniel Obajtek (former CEO of Orlen, carpetbagger from Lesser Poland)
KO - [PO-EPP] Elżbieta Łukacijewska (MEP)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Elżbieta Burkiewicz (member of Sejm)
Konfederacja - [NN-NI] Tomasz Buczek
Lewica - [LR-NI] Wiktoria Barańska

10 (Lesser Poland & Holy Cross) likely composition: PiS - 3 (-1), KO - 2 (+1), TD - 1 (nc), Konfederacja - 1 (+1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Beata Szydło (MEP, former prime minister)
KO - [PO-EPP] Bartłomiej Sienkiewicz (minister of culture and national heritage)
TD - [PSL-EPP] Adam Jarubas (MEP, 2015 presidential candidate)
Konfederacja - [NN-NI] Konrad Berkowicz (member of Sejm)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Andrzej Szejna (deputy minister of foreign affairs)

11 ((Upper) Silesia) likely composition: KO - 2 (nc), PiS - 2 (-1), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 1 (-1), Konfederacja - 1 (+1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Jadwiga Wiśniewska (MEP)
KO - [PO-EPP] Borys Budka (minister of state assets, former leader of PO)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Michał Gramatyka (deputy minister of digital affairs)
Konfederacja - [RN-NI] Marcin Sypniewski
Lewica - [LR-NI] Maciej Konieczny (member of Sejm)

12 (Lower Silesia & Opole) likely composition: KO - 2 (nc), PiS - 2 (nc), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 1 (+1), Konfederacja - 1 (+1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Anna Zalewska (MEP, former minister of education)
KO - [PO-EPP] Bogdan Zdrojewski (member of Sejm, former minister of culture and national heritage, former mayor of Wrocław)
TD - [PL2050-RE] Róża Thun (MEP, carpetbagger from Lesser Poland)
Konfederacja - [NN-NI] Stanisław Tyszka (member of Sejm, carpetbagger from Warsaw)
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Krzysztof Śmiszek (deputy minister of justice)

13 (Lubusz & West Pomerania) likely composition: KO - 1 (nc), PiS - 1 (-1), TD - 1 (+1), Lewica - 0 (-1)
PiS - [PiS-ECR] Joachim Brudziński (MEP, deputy leader of PiS)
KO - [PO-EPP] Bartosz Arłukowicz (former MEP, member of Sejm)
TD - [UED-EPP] Michał Kamiński (Senator, carpetbagger from Warsaw suburbs)
Konfederacja - [RN-NI] Magdalena Sosnowska
Lewica - [NL-S&D] Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (MEP, former prime minister, carpetbagger from Podlachia)