Quinnipiac polls: C+1 FL, C+3 NC, C+5 PA, T+5 OH

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Here's more detail on early voting:

Quinnipiac poll: https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399

FLORIDA: Of the 42% (263/626) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 48-42 percent (5.6% MOE).

NORTH CAROLINA: Of the 44% (265/602) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-36 percent (6.0% MOE).

OHIO: Of the 27% (159/589) of Early Voters, Clinton is ahead 58-33 percent (7.5% MOE).

YOWZA!  Tremendous!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Called it - North Carolina's white voter gap (59-33 Trump) is significantly lower than it was in 2012 (68-32).

Not great for Clinton -

Favorable ratings pretty much explain the race in states that are not named North Carolina:

Clinton Favorables: 44-54 in Florida, 41-54 in NC, 37-59 in OH (ouch), 41-56 in PA
Trump Favorables: 40-57 in Florida, 40-53 in NC, 39-56 in OH, 37-60 in PA (ouch)

Why would Trumpy winning crackers by a lot less mean bad things for Our Dear Hillary?