Detroit News-Michigan Clinton ahead

[DS0816]

Their final poll in 2012 had Obama up 3.

…For carriage of the state of Michigan with Election 2012?

Then we had adjust its numbers by D+6.

[DS0816]

Really great numbers for Rubio. However, MI won't be competitive. No way, barring a Republican landslide.

It's not obvious to me that Michigan is any better/worse of a target than Pennsylvania.  Sure, MI gave Obama better margins, but it is also more elastic than PA.  What factor do you see as different between  the two?

Good question, but I don't think that MI is more elastic than PA. When was the last time MI elected a Republican Senator? There are more "Democratic no matter what" voters in MI. The Philly suburbs are much easier to flip IMO.

Michigan last elected a Republican Senator in 1994 -- Spence Abraham. He was defeated in 2000. 

Adding to that…

Spencer Abraham won the Republican pickup of that Open U.S. Senate seat in the Republican midterm wave of 1994 … and he was unseated, by Democratic challenger (and now in her third term) Debbie Stabenow in the Republican presidential pickup year of 2000. Abraham became the United States Secretary of Energy during the first term of 43rd president George W. Bush.