Good, MI, WI and Pa are safe bets for Clinton.
LOL Safe bets? She is down to candidates in PA and is below average I would say in Michigan. Wisconsin seems to Lean/Likely Clinton, Michigan Tossup/Lean Clinton and Pennsylvania is a pure Tossup.
LOL Michigan less likely than Wisconsin? Michigan is essentially a Dem lock, like pbrower said it always closes hard late. Wisconsin is a lean Dem and Pennsylvania is tilt Dem because Pennsylvania always comes home at the end.
The state effectively has a 250,000 [estimate] raw-vote advantage for the Democrats. More than enough time has gone by to not skew Michigan toward the Republicans in polls indicating a Democrat would win the presidency. Perhaps we are at a point where polls on Michigan, more than three months in advance of a presidential election, should be ignored.
