Why does one website show Virginia as a tossup? (user search)
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June 10, 2024, 07:45:30 PM
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  Why does one website show Virginia as a tossup? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why does one website show Virginia as a tossup?  (Read 541 times)
DS0816
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,187
« on: May 05, 2024, 11:09:34 AM »

That has got to be an error. The website is electoral-vote.com. The Old Dominion should not be within five points in my opinion. Thank you.

Electoral-Vote.com takes whatever latest poll it can come across…and then colors the map accordingly.

There is no perspective.

I do not look to Electoral-Vote.com as a source which can tell me what will happen.
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DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,187
« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2024, 11:45:48 AM »


Zogby did some polls.

But it is not the responsibility of a pollster to nail down the margins, state after state, to tell us what will end up playing out.

If it was…one would not only dismiss but mock Zogby. Especially given its list of state polls shows a 2024 Republican pickup of Nevada by +6 and a 2024 Republican hold of Indiana by +4. In 2020, they were carried differently and by more than 15 points in their margins spread. For state ranks, they were 14 states apart. (With a 2020 Democratic pickup of the presidency, for Joe Biden, Nevada was the party’s No. 21 state and Indiana, not carried, ranked No. 35.)
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