if trump wins, will huffpoll and sam wong be totally and completely discredited? (user search)
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  if trump wins, will huffpoll and sam wong be totally and completely discredited? (search mode)
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Author Topic: if trump wins, will huffpoll and sam wong be totally and completely discredited?  (Read 321 times)
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,993
United States
« on: November 03, 2016, 07:47:11 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2016, 07:49:33 PM by Ronnie »
1% is definitely too low, but I do think Hillary's odds are somewhere in the 80s or 90s right now.  Nate Cohn's model is probably closest to the mark.

To answer the OP's question, probably.  I guess that's why Nate Silver's model is unusually conservative: to hedge in case something goes wrong.
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