Dick Morris's election map

[Ronnie]

which should i laugh hardest at:

delaware is 'lean obama'

or

washington is a 'tossup'

Don't forget about Hawaii.

[Ronnie]

Florida as strongly Obama?  LMAO

[Ronnie]

BREAKING NEWS: KENTUCKY, TENNESSEE, AND WEST VIRGINIA ARE LEAN OBAMA.  GEORGIA IS A TOSSUP, AND ARKANSAS IS STRONG OBAMA

[Ronnie]

Bump.  AZ is lean Obama.  SC is a tossup.

[Ronnie]

This is gonna be a HUGE landslide, people. Right now is the calm before the storm. For the most part, I think Dick is on the mark here.

Uh, a huge landslide is something like LBJ in '64.  Even if Obama does improve on his margins from now till election day (which I doubt), it won't be to the point where AR, TN, and AZ are for Obama.

[Ronnie]

Dick Morris isn't just making up sh**t as he goes along. He's got quite the reputation to live up to, and he just happens to be ahead of the curve. He's seeing internal polls that lead him to these conclusions. As much as many doubt it, we are indeed looking at a 40-state landslide for Obama.

No, we aren't. No way Obama wins Arkansas, South Carolina, Arizona or TN.

Hardcore supporters of Jimmy Carter did not see him losing a 44-state landslide. Hardcore supporters of Michael Dukakis did not see him losing a 40-state landslide. Both happened.

This is truly shaping up to be a semi-referendum on the past eight years of Bush policies. Things may change over the next three weeks, but if this trend continues then McCain is going to lose BIG as a result. It currently appears a significant majority of people are going to take their anti-Bush anger out on McCain, the Republican Party's chosen successor to Bush.

The difference is that Obama is an extremely polarizing figure, and it would be quite tough for him to win by more than 52% or so.  It would be very tough to see him doing much better than he is now.

Perhaps a solid win, but a landslide isn't going to happen.

[Ronnie]

Dick Morris isn't just making up sh**t as he goes along. He's got quite the reputation to live up to, and he just happens to be ahead of the curve. He's seeing internal polls that lead him to these conclusions. As much as many doubt it, we are indeed looking at a 40-state landslide for Obama.

No, we aren't. No way Obama wins Arkansas, South Carolina, Arizona or TN.

Hardcore supporters of Jimmy Carter did not see him losing a 44-state landslide. Hardcore supporters of Michael Dukakis did not see him losing a 40-state landslide. Both happened.

This is truly shaping up to be a semi-referendum on the past eight years of Bush policies. Things may change over the next three weeks, but if this trend continues then McCain is going to lose BIG as a result. It currently appears a significant majority of people are going to take their anti-Bush anger out on McCain, the Republican Party's chosen successor to Bush.

The difference is that Obama is an extremely polarizing figure, and it would be quite tough for him to win by more than 52% or so.  It would be very tough to see him doing much better than he is now.

Perhaps a solid win, but a landslide isn't going to happen.

I think you're overestimating his polarization factor just like Democrats overestimated Reagan's level of polarization in 1980. After his debate with Carter, people realized how ridiculous the attacks on Reagan's character were. Likewise, we're seeming the same thing happen with Obama now that the three debates are pretty much over with.

It's a change election across the board, and I think it's going to show in the Electoral College.

Arguing with you is tiresome, since you are not responding to my posts.  Obama is not going to get a tsunami of votes on election day that defy polling results.  He is not winning TN or AZ.

The end