Mexican Elections 2017-18

[Double Carpet]

I reckon PRI will end up winning Edomex - gut feel.

We'll see!

Jaichind thanks for all your updates, really appreciated, love following Mexican politics.

[Double Carpet]

Evening all and thanks for all the updates - just coming up to midnight here in London.

Ok so just a few questions for anyone:

1. Why does Mexico have the longest gap anywhere I think between the election and the new administration taking office (obv excepting where coalition governments need to be formed) - why is the new president not sworn in say 1st Sept or 1st Oct rather than 1st Dec? 5 months seems a really long gap.

2. If results are similar to recent polling, how many states are we expecting AMLO not to win? Guanajuato, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Yucatán which could go to Anaya but other than that a clean sweep?

3. Do people think that a single 6-year term via FPTP election is maybe not the best system - would eg the French system of 2 5-year terms and a runoff election be better? (I think national deputies are now allowed to be re-elected?)

Thanks!

[Double Carpet]

https://www.elnorte.com/

https://eleccionesinegr.gruporeforma.com/default.html?idplaza=2

https://elecciones.elnorte.com/#/presidencia/nacional/1/1/1/1

for live results - 2nd link is a results map - Anaya leading in Nuevo Leon and Tamaulipas, AMLO in 8 others where counting has started

[Double Carpet]

haha no probs - I always find that for maximum enjoyment of election nights you need to have live results (ideally a live map!) and live streaming of the relevant national tv.

Anyway AMLO doesn't look to be heading for a clean sweep at this very early stage, there look likely to be a handful of states that stay blue for Anaya.

[Double Carpet]

I love the way that some of the Mexican polling stations seem to be either in tents or at least partly outdoors! - apart from Indonesia/Philippines don't think I've seen that anywhere else.

I'm guessing that (regardless of how his sexenio as president turns out to be!) this is a pretty historic event for the country - first ever left-wing President elected - almost on a par with Fox being first non-PRI winner in 2000?

[Double Carpet]

Yes that's my next question - haven't been looking at the results really apart from President - will AMLO have a majority in both chambers?

Thanks!

[Double Carpet]

Yes that's true.

And Mexico seems to count pretty slowly - I think it will take more than 12 hours to count the presidential vote for example.

[Double Carpet]

Jaichind many thanks for all the updates and your expertise with this, it's really appreciated.

If he doesn't have a majority in both chambers, will he struggle to enact legislation domestically, like a US President might if his party didn't have both House and Senate?

Thanks