There's a good chance that this is yet more borderline trolling.
Or, it could just be polling. I.E. inaccurate by default until proven otherwise by results.
Or is that just me who thinks that?
Eh, being off past a certain point is hard to explain. Survey USA's last poll showed a difference of 12% in the margins. Some other polls showed nearly twice that.
With that said, I do think people on this forum on both sides are much too fast to cry foul when a poll is released that is an obvious outlier. Even if a poll is perfectly conducted, 1-in-20 will be outliers. In the real world where polling is an imperfect art, the ratio is undoubtedly somewhat worse.