NY-20 Special Election

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I'm now one of Murphy's 38 supporters on facebook. lol.

And Tedisco has around 400.  I think Tedisco will probably get close to 70% of the vote in the special election.  Is this going to be a good narrative for Democrats going into 2010?

Only political hacks follow things like congressional special elections. Brian Bilbray winning in 2006 didn't foretell anything about what was to happen in the fall.

But Bilbray barely won. 

Scott Eliott of Election Projections put it this way. If Bilbray wins by less then 5 the GOP is in trouble, If its between 5 and 8 then there is nothing to fortell, and if its 8 or greater the GOP will do very well.

Bilbray won 49-45(might have been 49-46. I can't remember)

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I'm now one of Murphy's 38 supporters on facebook. lol.

And Tedisco has around 400. I think Tedisco will probably get close to 70% of the vote in the special election.  Is this going to be a good narrative for Democrats going into 2010?

Was that meant to be serious?

Yes it was.  I think Tedisco will probably win this race with around 67% of the vote. 

I live in NY-20. Tedisco will probably win if turnout is low but there is no way in hell that that is going to happen.

For a special election?  Turnout will be low - very low.  It always is.

I know that. I'm saying that there is no way that Tedisco will get 67% of the vote.

Even 57% would be pushing it in my opinion. His ceiling is prpbably 54% or 55%.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

TEDISCO IS UP BY 12

Isn't it Tedesco, Lunar? I have now seen it spelled both ways and right now thats the only thing I wan't to be known about this race. I could care less who wins this seat. Its booked for a one way train ticket to the dumpster in 2012. Plus I don't think having Tedesco in the House is a real benefit for the GOP. We have enough retarded people there already.