Battle Ground States Predctions

[classical liberal]

I think that, given a PV tie, there are 10 real battlegrounds.  4 are slight Bush; 4 are slight Kerry.  The other two will decide the race.  If they are split then the EC is tied, if both go to a candidate then that candidate wins.



Bush-264
Kerry-264
Tossup-10

[classical liberal]

I would add New Hampshire, Oregon, West Virginia, and Minnesota as lean Kerry, all should be between 1 and 3 percent in his favor.

And then Nevada for lean Bush.

While MN, NH, and OR will be close, they aren't "battlegrounds" per se.  Look at the revised map: I changed the color scheme so that it's easier to read.

[classical liberal]

I think that, given a PV tie, there are 10 real battlegrounds.  4 are slight Bush; 4 are slight Kerry.  The other two will decide the race.  If they are split then the EC is tied, if both go to a candidate then taht candidate wins.



Bush-264
Kerry-264
Tossup-10

Updated Map:



Bush-264
Kerry-264
Tossup-10