OH&FL...Which state will Obama do better in?

[tokar]

Florida for few reasons in my eyes:

1) Lots of seniors who live on fixed income hearing that McCain wants to privatize social security when the market is crap
2) Lots of seniors are depending on 401k's and the sort and naturally the preferred choice is a person who they feel is better for the economy, which as shown in the polling is overwhelmingly Obama.
3) Overwhelmingly more Jews in Florida than in Ohio (Jews are mostly democratic).
4) I'm still not convinced that Ohio is safely in Obama's column yet.

[tokar]

I said OH, but it's really a coin flip.  FL has been stronger Obama this year, but not historically.

In 2004 OH was stronger for the DEMS (-2.10 vs -5.01)
In 2000 FL was stronger for the DEMS (-0.01 vs -3.51)